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Module 7: The Master Decision Framework: Choosing the Right Statistical Test

Tested Stacks: GATK 4.6.1 Samtools 1.21 Nextflow 24.10 Seurat v5.1 Python 3.12
Prerequisites: Basic Linux CLI & Sequencing Formats
Module 07 • Test Selection Guide Track 19 • Applied Environmental Statistics Hands-On R & RStudio Included

Module 7: The Master Decision Framework: Choosing the Right Statistical Test

A structured decision tree for scientific research questions: continuous vs categorical responses, 2 groups vs 3+ groups, independent vs paired designs, parametric vs non-parametric alternatives, and contingency tests.

7. The Master Decision Framework: Choosing the Right Statistical Test

The most common anxiety among scientific researchers is deciding which statistical test applies to their data. By systematically answering four diagnostic questions, you can instantly identify the exact parametric or non-parametric test to run in R.

The 4-Step Test Selection Protocol:

  1. What is the nature of your Dependent (Response) Variable? Continuous numerical (e.g. pH, metal conc.), discrete count (species count), or categorical (presence/absence).
  2. What is the nature of your Independent (Predictor) Variable? Categorical treatment groups (Control vs Treatment), or continuous numerical predictor (Temperature).
  3. How many groups are you comparing? 2 groups vs 3 or more groups.
  4. Are the samples Independent or Paired? Independent (different plots/ponds) vs Paired/Repeated measures (before vs after spill at the same location).
  5. Are the Parametric Assumptions satisfied? Residual normality ($p > 0.05$ on Shapiro-Wilk) and equal variances (Levene's test).

The Universal Statistical Decision Matrix

Research ObjectiveExperimental DesignParametric Test (Normal Data)Non-Parametric Counterpart (Skewed / Ranks)
Compare 2 GroupsIndependent samples (e.g. Upstream vs Downstream)Two-Sample Student's / Welch's $t$-test (t.test)Mann-Whitney $U$ / Wilcoxon Rank-Sum (wilcox.test)
Compare 2 GroupsPaired samples (e.g. Same site Before vs After Rain)Paired $t$-test (t.test(..., paired = TRUE))Wilcoxon Signed-Rank Test (wilcox.test(..., paired = TRUE))
Compare ≥ 3 GroupsIndependent (e.g. Forest vs Agri vs Urban vs Wetland)One-Way ANOVA (aov) + Tukey HSDKruskal-Wallis Test (kruskal.test) + Dunn Test
Test AssociationTwo continuous variables (e.g. Water Temp vs DO)Pearson Correlation ($r$) (cor.test)Spearman Rank Correlation ($ ho$) (method = "spearman")
Model RelationshipPredict continuous $Y$ from continuous/categorical $X$Linear Regression (OLS) (lm)Robust / Quantile Regression or GLM
Categorical FrequenciesContingency table (e.g. Species presence across soil types)Chi-Square Test ($\chi^2$) (chisq.test)Fisher's Exact Test (for small $n < 5$) (fisher.test)
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Common Pitfalls & Troubleshooting Checklist

  • Java Heap Exhaustion (GATK / Picard): If processes terminate with java.lang.OutOfMemoryError, set your environment variable explicitly: export _JAVA_OPTIONS="-Xmx16g -Djava.io.tmpdir=/tmp".
  • Index Timestamp Mismatch: If tools complain that a BAM index is missing or out of date, regenerate with samtools index -@ 4 sample.bam.
  • Conda Channel Conflicts: Avoid ABI incompatibilities between bioconda and conda-forge by setting strict priority: conda config --set channel_priority strict.
  • Chromosome Naming Contamination: Always verify whether reference FASTA headers use chr1 or 1; divergent naming causes silent alignment drops.
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